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BTC / USD · 2-Minute Forecast

Live price intelligence · Coinbase spot

CONNECTING TO MARKET

Actual BTC price ●

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Live Coinbase BTC-USD waiting for first tick

Predicted price · +2:00 ●

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— estimated change

2-minute directional signal

BUILDING…

SPOT MODEL

Collecting live trade data—

Live BTC vs. forecast

Actual Next 2 minutes Past forecasts

Connecting to Coinbase live BTC feed…
Chart starts when market data arrives

Amber projection moves forward in time, not a second real market price.No trade received yet

Direction hit rate

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Resolved actionable predictions only

Scored predictions

New evaluation every 15 seconds

Mean forecast error

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Dollar difference after 2 minutes

Estimated 2m volatility

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Historical variability, not confidence

How to read it

Cyan is the actual last-traded BTC price. Amber projects where the model estimates BTC could trade exactly two minutes ahead. Faint dashed amber shows predictions made previously, so you can check their accuracy as actual prices catch up. The shaded cone is a rough volatility range, not a confidence interval.

UP / DOWN BIAS indicates short-term momentum strong relative to recent noise. WAIT means no sufficiently strong signal. Signals use short-horizon returns and realized volatility. They are exploratory and have not been proven profitable; the direction hit rate starts blank until real predictions mature.

Kalshi BTC 15-minute markets settle against their specified index and time. Coinbase spot price is not necessarily that index. A two-minute spot forecast alone cannot determine whether a Kalshi YES/NO contract is fairly priced, or guarantee an entry or exit.

Recent evaluated predictions

Target timeBias / resultAbsolute error

Live evaluations will appear here after two minutes.

Public market feed: Coinbase Exchange BTC-USD WebSocket. Historical bars are requested from Coinbase when available. No API keys, wallet connection, or auto-trading. Forecast snapshots and scores are stored locally on this device.